Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.560726 2.684146 2.813126 2.958483 3.118365 3.289591 3.487808
2025-11-09 2.308066 2.471332 2.649001 2.858348 3.100489 3.374590 3.712556
2025-11-16 2.133949 2.322160 2.533488 2.791549 3.102816 3.472622 3.955830
2025-11-23 2.018417 2.226701 2.466932 2.769694 3.149148 3.621198 4.274871
2025-11-30 1.933638 2.158638 2.424339 2.768862 3.216322 3.798270 4.653038
2025-12-07 1.845134 2.078838 2.359954 2.732848 3.231541 3.905095 4.947731
2025-12-14 1.750272 1.984997 2.271132 2.657085 3.184722 3.918474 5.103233
2025-12-21 1.704673 1.948960 2.251697 2.668706 3.255098 4.102520 5.552405
2025-12-28 1.676284 1.932296 2.254961 2.709264 3.367635 4.360358 6.177197
2026-01-04 1.615965 1.871587 2.196929 2.660945 3.345655 4.405513 6.431456
2026-01-11 1.583309 1.844884 2.182019 2.670999 3.410042 4.595479 7.005669
2026-01-18 1.561812 1.831452 2.183650 2.703784 3.510859 4.858664 7.808732
2026-01-25 1.519464 1.791717 2.151519 2.691505 3.549661 5.038018 8.544101
2026-02-01 1.461084 1.728611 2.084668 2.624286 3.494612 5.040644 8.864967
2026-02-08 1.413044 1.677804 2.032891 2.576844 3.468671 5.096486 9.362898
2026-02-15 1.379198 1.644964 2.004826 2.563612 3.499204 5.268868 10.294991
2026-02-22 1.352573 1.620880 1.987907 2.566196 3.557015 5.508228 11.618247
2026-03-01 1.318281 1.584909 1.952196 2.536776 3.554747 5.618736 12.590644
2026-03-08 1.275745 1.536147 1.896063 2.471712 3.482084 5.560500 12.863136
2026-03-15 1.257316 1.520420 1.887452 2.482502 3.550420 5.840567 14.921912
2026-03-22 1.246839 1.515375 1.894137 2.518329 3.669609 6.273244 18.562788
2026-03-29 1.216218 1.480773 1.855368 2.476289 3.632874 6.300552 19.826367
2026-04-05 1.200509 1.466952 1.847237 2.485215 3.698380 6.617591 24.158753